New SITREPThe Locked Sea

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Geopolitical
Intelligence

Strategic analysis and situation reports on global security, defense, and international affairs. Geography explains power.

Strategic chokepoints

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“Map of Russia’s western frontier showing current NATO contact line (~2,600 km), a shorter interior defensive line (~1,200 km), and the Baltic–Black Sea buffer corridor.”
Map-led analysis

Europe

Russia's Depth Problem

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Reference
Maps

Foundational layers that underpin all analysis

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World map showing median age by country, revealing the demographic divide between ageing and young societies
Global

Global Age Divide

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Global elevation map showing terrain as structural constraints on movement and power projection
Global

Global Terrain

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Latest
Maps

Regional analysis and current situations

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Political map of the Indo-Pacific showing China highlighted in red with naval base locations at Qingdao, Ningbo, Zhanjiang, and Sanya marked. The First Island Chain is shown as a red line running from Japan through Taiwan and the Philippines. The Second Island Chain is shown further east with a distance marker of 3,900 kilometres. The Malacca Strait is highlighted in gold. Surrounding countries including India, Vietnam, the Philippines, Japan, and Australia are shown in blue tones indicating strategic distance or opposition to Chinese interests. Taiwan is marked in yellow as a key strategic pivot point.
Indo-Pacific

The Locked Sea: China's Island Chain Problem

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Map showing Britain's strategic position between the European continent and the Atlantic world
Europe

Britain Between Worlds

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Latest
SITREPs

Map-led situation reports on active regions

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Europe

Buffers, Tripwires, and a Continent That Refuses the Deal

Geography still explains the war. Politics now explains why it will continue.

Europe

Britain Between Worlds

Why America inherited Britain's strategic position. The fundamental problem in the modern British–American relationship is strategic rather than sentimental.

Latest
Essays

Long-form strategic commentary

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Global
Strategic Essays

Notes on the World

A brief essay on demographics, power, and the end of the post-war order. The global system is breaking because several long-running structural forces are converging at the same time.

Global
Strategic Essays

Greenland, Ukraine, and the Shape of the Coming Order

What most people miss about Greenland is that it is not a standalone issue. American posturing over Greenland is directly connected to the war in Ukraine, Europe's refusal to accept a negotiated peace, and the strategic reality of space, Arctic geography, and missile defence.

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The Brief

Weekly intelligence digest
Indo-Pacific

Malacca Strait

The Malacca Strait remains one of the most critical maritime chokepoints in the global system, carrying 25-30% of global seaborne trade. Recent piracy incidents and great-power competition have refocused attention on this strategic artery.

Middle East
Strategic Essays

Was the Strike on Iran a Strategic Mistake?

Tactical brilliance, long-term uncertainty — and a West unsure what it stands for. The only viable strategic endpoint with Iran is regime change.